Small Track Profits
by George Kaywood
|
No one will argue that simulcast
thoroughbred racing--particularly in combination with OTB/satellite or
online wagering---has made the sport more accessible and enjoyable for
thousands of racing fans than perhaps any other development since the sport
began.
The technology that has afforded
the convenience we fans enjoy has also created an attitude that smacks
of arrogance, and perhaps a touch of snobbery as well. That attitude is
a variation of the "big city is better than small town" attitude that many
of us experience or fall victim to in our travels through life.
In the late eighties through early
nineties, as major tracks (like Santa Anita, Belmont, Arlington, Gulfstream)
began to appear on simulcast cards everywhere, many local players (who
lived near smaller tracks, like Finger Lakes, the California Fair Tracks,
Thistledown, or Fonner Park), you could hear more and more locals saying
"Why should I play these bottom-of-the-barrel claimers when I can play
far better horses who form alone is much more consistent than the pigs
I've been playing for years?"
True, a hardcore loyal following
played their small local track (without which the other wouldn't have the
opportunity to pooh-pooh the cheaper races and play the bigger one in the
first place!) AND the major tracks hundreds or thousands of miles away.
I've had friends in larger cities
ask me "Are you nuts playing horses in Nebraska when you can be playing
Del Mar and Saratoga?"
No, I'm not nuts, and neither is
Andy Beyer, who revealed the secret at the DRF's Handicapping
Expo 2000 in Las Vegas last February: savvy players have a real
nice little gold mine waiting for them at smaller tracks that simulcast
their races.
Andy told handicappers in attendance
that he planned to seriously play Prairie Meadows, the Des Moines, Iowa
track which cards $2,500 claimers and ultra-cheap maidens, along with a
handful of classier races, although none really come close to the
biggies (as in Graded Stakes) carded at major tracks.
The reason why Andy and I both play
some of the smaller tracks is primary because they are overlooked by most
simulcast players and therefore offer real wagering value
and moneymaking opportunities.
It doesn't take a rocket scientist
to understand that:
a. value is where you find it, regardless
of track
b. within the relative track class
structures, there are unplayable dirt-cheap races at larger tracks, as
well as at smaller ones
c. you use different handicapping
tools for different races as each race--and track--require
Some comments on point (c) are in
order.
Some big-track approaches will not
work well at smaller tracks. If you're a pace handicapper, the two turns
of bullrings may wreak havoc with your numbers. If you're a class handicapper,
sometimes you have to understand very quickly that the two lowest claiming
levels at a cheap track are really the same level, as available
stock is simply entered in whatever race is available in a given week;
one week it may be a $2500 race, the next, a $3500, with the same batch
of horses entered in both.
Sometimes, reliable par times can
crush small track races easier than at larger tracks. Close attention the
old-fashioned way to determining daily track variants can uncover boxcar
possibilities, as most simulcast players will not do the work needed to
have a real edge. A few years ago, playing Fonner Park (Grand Island, NE)
by simulcast here in Omaha, I made some simple pars for the second call
and final times and kept track on one page for the whole season, noting
races as "fast 3, fast 3" etc., and nailed a $700+ exacta that was logical
and not unexpected. (Yeah--I WAS astonished, just the same!)
At any size track, players who know
which trainers traditionally have their horses ready at the beginning of
the meet have a special edge. If you're tired of short fields and literally
weather-worn racing this time of year at Aqueduct, try joining the limited
crowd that knows which trainers have their stock ready for opening weekend
at Fonner Park in mid-February when races of less than five furlongs whose
runners haven't raced since last year fill the card.
Andy's comment about Prairie Meadows
will lead some to conclude that it's a particularly good track for speed
figure handicapping. This is true, but there's much more, with the horses-for-courses
factor returning healthy mutuels and successful class handicapping with
special attention paid to purse values (PrM's races offer highly inflated
purses for the levels of racing there, thanks to solid supplementation
from slot machine revenue.
My friend Spotplay, professional
handicapper in his own right, regularly reviews the smaller, often overlooked
simulcast signals that many satellite locations use to create a large menu
of offerings for handicappers. He finds genuine short-term track biases,
running styles that dominate certain types of races, and other specific
and track-specific nuances that can be profitable.
I find it amazing that many OTB's
carry signals from tracks for which they do not offer DRF past performances
at the site, relegating players to the smaller Equibase programs that are
far less informative. However, this is actually an advantage for serious
players who download all the info they need from various racing information
providers on the Internet.
Smart handicappers can reap absolute
bonanzas at smaller tracks while diehards who refuse to look beyond their
major track often ponder over whether a bet is warranted on evenly-matched
classier horses who are all going off at crappy low odds.
Next time you hit a slump or find
less than acceptable value at the "big" track you play regularly, consider
looking at the "leaky-roof" circuit with a highly selective eye. You might
be pleasantly surprised. |